Abstract
<jats:p>The article examines contemporary demographic processes in the Tyva Republic based on an analysis of official statistics. Highly detailed demographic analysis methods are applied: migration trajectories are analyzed by individual municipalities, birth rates — by area in conditional and real generations, mortality — by leading causes of death. The purposes of the study are to assess the prospects for the demographic development of the Tyva Republic and to identify limitations and reserves for improving the situation. It is shown that due to the special position of the family institution in the hierarchy of values, ethnic identity, and state and regional family support programs, high birth rates are maintained in the republic. Signs of the second demographic transition, such as an increase in the number of delayed births and refusal to have children, as well as a decrease in the proportion of large families indicate a value gap between social groups and emerging social inequality. The implementation of agricultural economic policy in the region does not solve the problems of poverty, but contributes to the preservation of the traditional way of life of the Tyvan people and influences the migration behavior of the population. It has been revealed that external causes and infectious diseases remain among the leading causes of death: tuberculosis, homicides and suicides, poisoning, exposure to low temperatures, pneumonia and traffic accidents. Despite the fact that rural residents bear the main burden in solving demographic problems, they often die at the working age. The practical significance of the study is to identify reserves for improving the demographic situation in the republic. Since the difficulties are primarily related to economic factors, the authors propose to focus efforts on expanding social infrastructure and developing the economy through diversification of economic practices, which will also create favorable conditions for return migration of young people and a comfortable life for older age groups. Further research should be aimed at studying the effectiveness of demographic policy measures in the republic, as well as assessing the impact of compression and digitalization of social infrastructure on demographic processes.</jats:p>